Agent/Triangle relationship
This is an interesting situation to analyze, and I had the
opportunity to witness (albeit in a minor form) a minor version of a triangle
relationship during my internship this summer. It may not fit the mold exactly,
but the relationship provides similar actions to the standard triangle-agent
relationship we have discussed. I worked as an intern for a major institutional
investor in Chicago. The office is run by the CIO, who has an obligation to
manage the portfolio in the best of her ability. She also had to abide by
recommendations by the institution’s board of directors, and it was possible
that the two parties wouldn’t see eye to eye. So the CIO acts as the agent, and
the two principals being the external fund managers in the portfolio and the board
of directors of the employing institution. The CIO and the rest of the senior
staff met regularly with external fund managers, prospective or current, and then
would (less frequently) meet with the board of directors to present the state
of the portfolio, the performance of funds, and other minute details not really
important to this scenario.
I never was able to observe a moment where the board and the
fund managers didn’t see eye to eye on the performance of the CIO and the
investment staff. Although, if either side were to have a differing view on
what constitutes good performance, then the relationship between the agent and
either party could start to deteriorate. If the board of directors thought that
the CIO was not performing adequately (as opposed to the external managers who
have appreciated the way the CIO has constructed the portfolio), then they may
begin to question the CIO’s investment decision making process. The CIO needs
to properly communicate her investment philosophy and process clearly to the
board to avoid conflict, but they hired her for a reason. So the board would
need to listen to the strategy and take that in accordance with the performance
of the portfolio. The board of directors do not ever meet with the external
fund managers, so they have to trust the CIO to make sound decisions and
implement her style while considering the investment philosophy they have. If
the tension level ever gets extraordinarily high, then the agent (CIO) could
possibly lose her job. Same goes for the rest of the investment staff.
In this scenario, with the pressure of performance in a
results-based business, the agent would definitely fail if they satisfied one
party and ignored the other. If the CIO ignored the board of directors and
hired managers that might not fit their investment views (the CIO had full autonomy
in investment decisions, so technically this is possible), then the CIO would
be putting her job, and the jobs of the investment staff at risk. On the other
hand, if the CIO were to completely ignore the perspective of the fund managers
and only adhere to the opinions of the board, it could hinder the investment
relationship and the external fund could begin investing in ways that are not
beneficial to the long-term goals of the portfolio. The CIO has to adhere to
the guidelines and the philosophy of the board (and the institution as a
whole), but she was hired to bring her own investment style and philosophy to improve
the strength of the portfolio. That may require suggesting investment
opportunities that the board may not have considered under previous investment
teams, and these opportunities would strengthen the relationship with the fund
managers – allowing them to utilize the institution’s investment and grow in a
way that is mutually beneficial.
Here is an off-the-wall question for you. Could an algorithm be written out so that the portfolio choice was generated by the algorithm based on available data about asset prices and company performance? My sense of these things is that many companies have such programs running to find pure arbitrage opportunities. But you might also think of doing this to apply a certain investment philosophy. If something like that is possible, one might wonder what value add the CIO provides . It is something to consider.
ReplyDeleteThen, it would be good to know who gets onto the Board and what interests they represent. I do want to note that individuals who hold a portfolio but have others manage it, do communicate their preferences (about how much risk to take, about specific assets they like to hold, and maybe other assets that they don't want any part of). If may be that the Board is comprised of some of the larger individual portfolios, or possibly some portfolios associated with businesses that hold some of their retained earning that way. But the Board may still not be totally representative of other investors. Further, there is the issue of how knowledgeable the Board members are, even if they are big investors. The one doesn't imply the other.
I do think this is a reasonable example of the triangle problem. But let me note there is an additional issue, consider the CIO as an investor of her own funds and not just a manager of the portfolio. Is there some tension between doing well in both of those areas? That is something else to consider.
I apologize that I have not responded to this until now, I just realized I missed this one since it was over break.
ReplyDeleteI think that the human element is extremely critical in investment decision-making, so I don't think any sort of algorithm could be developed to make the portfolio choices. Now, algorithms can be developed to help inform these choices, but shouldn't be used as a decision-making mechanism on its own. The CIO was hired specifically for her investment style and experience, and automating that decision making process mitigates the value that the CIO brings to the staff.
I did not spend enough time there to completely understand how the members of the board are determined, let alone what their interests and personalities may be. They definitely communicate their ideas and preferences, but I'm not sure what personal tie-ins they may have with any of the external fund managers' portfolios. If there is any personal incentive tied to portfolio performance, this could have an impact on the nature of this triangle relationship. Because if the tie-ins of the board, and potentially the CIO, are impacted by different investment factors, then this could cause a conflict of interest between the two parties.